Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.699369 11.358120 13.170667 15.292483 17.702096 20.347227 23.464177
2025-11-16 6.598171 8.761382 11.380415 14.756185 18.960345 23.989884 30.424558
2025-11-23 4.756776 7.008778 9.972482 14.094767 19.606341 26.639286 36.196148
2025-11-30 3.938384 6.319985 9.672893 14.625924 21.622198 30.997531 44.323402
2025-12-07 3.349079 5.798594 9.457696 15.151246 23.576991 35.338832 52.687724
2025-12-14 2.703106 5.046896 8.757654 14.828183 24.217992 37.836873 58.625525
2025-12-21 2.184508 4.388019 8.076402 14.401904 24.596066 39.909211 64.021949
2025-12-28 1.970077 4.205449 8.122522 15.102311 26.726716 44.679907 73.647575
2026-01-04 1.756835 3.981047 8.056024 15.588906 28.531950 49.050400 82.918874
2026-01-11 1.517425 3.657724 7.761920 15.636047 29.594271 52.302148 90.632883
2026-01-18 1.314564 3.366928 7.480810 15.660077 30.595230 55.491354 98.403784
2026-01-25 1.096958 2.998342 6.992915 15.237182 30.760287 57.291786 104.008617
2026-02-01 0.901620 2.650325 6.519943 14.838318 31.028075 59.448319 110.635426
2026-02-08 0.736080 2.335252 6.069454 14.437589 31.277305 61.638530 117.561888
2026-02-15 0.585280 2.014468 5.546209 13.809801 31.018620 62.898439 122.961864
2026-02-22 0.529649 1.938202 5.568464 14.335708 33.052694 68.409624 136.109323
2026-03-01 0.480110 1.866104 5.587467 14.852812 35.107887 74.084621 149.861244
2026-03-08 0.397892 1.668420 5.257788 14.535373 35.411004 76.489458 157.827183
2026-03-15 0.325566 1.477667 4.907477 14.116386 35.447615 78.368598 164.910730
2026-03-22 0.303934 1.456560 5.011988 14.804871 37.930708 85.152637 181.508763
2026-03-29 0.277164 1.408218 5.031457 15.283226 39.986669 91.209001 197.027985
2026-04-05 0.240864 1.310240 4.888619 15.329571 41.071747 95.377971 209.135113
2026-04-12 0.208972 1.218031 4.744935 15.353196 42.101693 99.488586 221.326926